The number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 in India exceeded 30,000 on Tuesday, while the number of deaths caused by the pandemic exceeded 1,000, as the country would maintain a dangerous control over a disease feared by the dreaded officials in the next two months.
According to the state health authorities, the total number of Kovid-19 infections throughout India on Tuesday was 31,329 and the number of deaths was 1,007, the largest increase in the number of deaths per day. On Tuesday, 74 deaths were significantly higher than the previous high – 54 deaths were recorded on Monday.
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The last 10,000 cases occurred in 7 days – less than it took to count between 10,000 and 20,000 in one day – with Maharashtra and Gujarat continuing to report some of the biggest peaks, even when locked up, disrupting daily life to an unprecedented degree.
In these two states, the incidence of infection doubles by 8.3 and 8.8 days respectively. The total doubling of the country is 10.8 days compared to 4 days at the beginning of the month.
If you look at some countries with high morbidity, you can see that the 20 countries with the same population as India have 84 times more cases of the coronavirus, said Lav Agarwal, the co-secretary of the Ministry of Health of the Union, at another government briefing on the crisis.
However, the epidemic appears to be particularly serious in the financial metropolis of Mumbai, where almost 6,000 of the total of 9,318 cases occurred throughout the state on Tuesday. Of the 393 new cases in the city, 41 occurred in Dharavi, a slum which is considered one of the most densely populated places in the world with a population of about one million people.
In Gujarat 226 new infections were reported on Tuesday, bringing the total to 3,774, compared to 9,318 in Maharashtra and 3,314 in Delhi.
Currently, approximately 3.1 million people worldwide are infected, of whom approximately 213,000 have died from the disease. The United States is the most affected country with 57,000 deaths, followed by Italy (27,000 deaths) and Spain (23,000 deaths).
Senior Indian health officials said the next few days would be most crucial in setting India’s course, as some of the blockade measures would be weakened in areas with low disease levels.
The most important thing we need to focus on now are aggressive measures to contain the identified hot spots, the so-called red areas, so that they (infections) do not seep into the green areas, said Dr. Randip Guleria, director of the All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS).
Mrs Guleria added that these measures must be accompanied by aggressive behavioural changes regarding hand hygiene, the wearing of masks and respect for cough tetiquette as a way of life for Indians. There will come a time when we need to lift the lockdown, so we need to prepare our strategy by focusing on areas where no messages have been received and which could be open to commercial activity, and changing red areas to orange and then green, he said.
We must be able to segment the areas successfully, only then will we be able to say that the curve has really flattened, and it will remain, he added.
Curve reduction refers to a strategy to reduce new infections according to public health capacity, which is especially important for a disease like Covid-19 that is spreading like wildfire in countries that have refused to announce tough measures.
These measures have also led to increased economic losses. Financial analysts at Moody’s Investor Services said in a forecast released Tuesday that the looming end of economic activity could cause India’s GDP growth rate to fall to 0.2% for the current calendar year.
Our predictions carry a considerable risk if the pandemic is not contained and the blockades must be lifted. Even without a long-term blockade, a self-sustaining dynamic can arise, leading to the large-scale destruction of entire companies and sectors, but also to structurally high unemployment, continuous loss of human capital and a chronic malaise in consumption and investment, according to an update of the Global Macro Outlook prepared by the rating agency.coronavirus in india,worldometer